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11th Nov 2025

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No tips available for this date


Today's Tips Ranked
Mon 6 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Keflavik vs Fram
Over 2.5 Iceland Besta deild karla 8:15 am
90%
prob
High Conf.
Super Nova vs Ogre United
Over 1.5 Latvia Virsliga 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Suduva vs Transinvest
Over 1.5 Lithuania TopLyga 4:45 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
U Catolica vs Mushuc Runa
1X Ecuador Liga Pro 10:30 am
80%
prob
High Conf.
Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 7:30 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Portugal vs Spain
Over 1.5 World Cup 2026 8:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
CSR Espanol vs Mercedes
1X Argentina Primera C 7:00 pm
80%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Monday • site avg 78.3% • evidence-based
Keflavik vs Fram
Over 2.5 Iceland Besta deild karla 8:15 am
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (65.5%). This reduces the overall confidence rating. Iceland Besta deild karla is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Super Nova vs Ogre United
Over 1.5 Latvia Virsliga 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (84.4%). No significant deviation either way. Latvia Virsliga has been a difficult competition in the historical record (50%). Factor this into your assessment.
Suduva vs Transinvest
Over 1.5 Lithuania TopLyga 4:45 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (84.4%). No significant deviation either way.
U Catolica vs Mushuc Runa
1X Ecuador Liga Pro 10:30 am
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (85.7% vs 78.3%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 7:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 74/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (65.5%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Portugal vs Spain
Over 1.5 World Cup 2026 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (84.4%). No significant deviation either way.
CSR Espanol vs Mercedes
1X Argentina Primera C 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (85.7% vs 78.3%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Keflavik vs Fram Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 65.5% over the last 90 days (55 tips graded). In Iceland Besta deild karla, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
65.5% on Over 2.5 90% probability 85.7% in Iceland Besta deild karla
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 36 wins from 55 settled tips (65.5%). This is below our site-wide average of 78.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Super Nova vs Ogre United Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 84.4% over the last 90 days (32 tips graded). In Latvia Virsliga, our record stands at 50% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
84.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability 50% in Latvia Virsliga
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 27 wins from 32 settled tips (84.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Suduva vs Transinvest Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 84.4% over the last 90 days (32 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
84.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 27 wins from 32 settled tips (84.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
U Catolica vs Mushuc Runa 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 85.7% over the last 90 days (35 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
85.7% on 1X 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 35 settled tips (85.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 65.5% over the last 90 days (55 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
65.5% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 36 wins from 55 settled tips (65.5%). This is below our site-wide average of 78.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Portugal vs Spain Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 84.4% over the last 90 days (32 tips graded). In World Cup 2026, our record stands at 77.8% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
84.4% on Over 1.5 80% probability 77.8% in World Cup 2026
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 27 wins from 32 settled tips (84.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
CSR Espanol vs Mercedes 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 85.7% over the last 90 days (35 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
85.7% on 1X 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 35 settled tips (85.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

04 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Racing Club W vs Huracan W 1 @1.13
2-0 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • China Super League Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port Over 1.5 @1.19
2-1 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • Finland Veikkausliiga VPS vs Mariehamn 1 @1.28
4-0 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Spain U19 vs Germany U19 Over 1.5 @1.20
4-0 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W 1 @1.21
2-0 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Morocco Botola Pro Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir 1 @1.48
2-0 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen A PPJ vs Kiffen Over 2.5 @1.41
1-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 1 @1.14
3-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Estonia Esiliiga Tartu Welco vs Viimsi Over 2.5 @1.43
2-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Spain vs Austria 1 @1.36
3-0 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen B EBK vs Abo X2 @1.10
1-6 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • Russia FNL 2 - Div B Khimik vs Ural 2 1 @1.31
4-1 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • Canadian Premier League Forge vs Vancouver FC 1 @1.37
3-2 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Belgium vs Senegal Over 1.5 @1.30
2-2 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 England vs DR Congo Over 1.5 @1.32
2-1 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • USA USL League Two NEFC vs Vermont Green Over 2.5 @1.47
0-4 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Namungo vs Mbitwa Sugar 1X @1.13
2-1 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Australia Queensland PL Logan Lightning vs Redlands Over 2.5 @1.42
5-1 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • World Cup 2026 France vs Sweden Over 2.5 @1.46
3-0 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Latvia Virsliga FK Liepaja vs Ogre United 1 @1.28
4-0 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 166 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
78.3%
Excellent
Won (130) 78.3%
Lost (36) 21.7%
130W
36L
130
Won
36
Lost
166
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
1X Top market
11W / 2L • 13 tips
84.6%
Over 1.5 Top market
10W / 2L • 12 tips
83.3%
1 Top market
76W / 19L • 95 tips
80%
2 Top market
19W / 7L • 26 tips
73.1%
Over 2.5 Top market
13W / 5L • 18 tips
72.2%
X2 Average
1W / 1L • 2 tips
50%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 83% 85% 74% 72% 75% 74% 76%
1X 73% 100% 90% 88% 80% 100% — 88%
2 92% 75% 70% 64% 56% 67% 80% 71%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 100% 50% 75% 93% 67% 100% — 83%
Over 2.5 73% 65% 67% 63% 75% 75% 75% 68%
X2 — — — — — — — 33%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 77.8%100%
83.3%
recent
⬆
+5.5pp
Argentina Reserve League
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Euro WCQ Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 255 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 200W / 55L
2
2
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 76.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 13L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 55 tips
Accuracy 65.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 36W / 19L
4
1X
Volume 35 tips
Accuracy 85.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 5L
5
Over 1.5
Volume 32 tips
Accuracy 84.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 27W / 5L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 33.3%
Below average returns. Published selectively as a result.
WATCH 2W / 4L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
4 Jul 2026Racing Club W vs Huracan W
Argentina Primera Women		1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
China Super League		Over 1.5✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power
China League One		2✗ Lost
4 Jul 2026VPS vs Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga		1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026RFS vs Auda
Latvia Virsliga		1✗ Lost
4 Jul 2026Spain U19 vs Germany U19
Euro U19		Over 1.5✓ Won
4 Jul 2026San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W
Argentina Primera Women		1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
Morocco Botola Pro		1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026PPJ vs Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen A		Over 2.5✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
Iceland Besta deild karla		1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78.6% • range ±1.6%
Steady
80%
0-30d
79.1%
30-60d
76.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 78.3% • range ±5.1%
Steady
73.1%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 65.5% • range ±5.6%
Steady
72.2%
0-30d
61.1%
30-60d
63.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 82.3% • range ±10.4%
Variable
83.3%
0-30d
92.3%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 85.8% • range ±13.6%
Volatile
84.6%
0-30d
100%
30-60d
72.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


78.3%
30-day win rate
166 verified tips
77.1%
7-Day Rate
130
Tips Won
36
Tips Lost
166
Settled
Full Results →

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