SureWinsForToday

Direct Win Predictions

Direct Win Predictions For Today

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5th Oct 2023

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No tips available for this date


Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 4 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
Over 1.5 China Super League 12:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
Over 1.5 Euro U19 2:00 pm
90%
prob
Solid Pick
VPS vs Mariehamn
1 Finland Veikkausliiga 4:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Racing Club W vs Huracan W
1 Argentina Primera Women 7:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
RFS vs Auda
1 Latvia Virsliga 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W
1 Argentina Primera Women 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power
2 China League One 12:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 77.5% • evidence-based
Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
Over 1.5 China Super League 12:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (83.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
Over 1.5 Euro U19 2:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (83.3%). No significant deviation either way.
VPS vs Mariehamn
1 Finland Veikkausliiga 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Racing Club W vs Huracan W
1 Argentina Primera Women 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
RFS vs Auda
1 Latvia Virsliga 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 63/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way. Latvia Virsliga has been a difficult competition in the historical record (57.1%). Factor this into your assessment.
San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W
1 Argentina Primera Women 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power
2 China League One 12:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 83.3% over the last 90 days (30 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
83.3% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 25 wins from 30 settled tips (83.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spain U19 vs Germany U19 Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 83.3% over the last 90 days (30 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
83.3% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 25 wins from 30 settled tips (83.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
VPS vs Mariehamn 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 265 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Racing Club W vs Huracan W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 265 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
RFS vs Auda 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). In Latvia Virsliga, our record stands at 57.1% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability 57.1% in Latvia Virsliga
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 265 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 265 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 44 wins from 56 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

02 Jul 2026 • Morocco Botola Pro Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir 1 @1.48
2-0 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen A PPJ vs Kiffen Over 2.5 @1.41
1-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 1 @1.14
3-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Estonia Esiliiga Tartu Welco vs Viimsi Over 2.5 @1.43
2-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Spain vs Austria 1 @1.36
3-0 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen B EBK vs Abo X2 @1.10
1-6 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • Russia FNL 2 - Div B Khimik vs Ural 2 1 @1.31
4-1 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • Canadian Premier League Forge vs Vancouver FC 1 @1.37
3-2 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Belgium vs Senegal Over 1.5 @1.30
2-2 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 England vs DR Congo Over 1.5 @1.32
2-1 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • USA USL League Two NEFC vs Vermont Green Over 2.5 @1.47
0-4 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Namungo vs Mbitwa Sugar 1X @1.13
2-1 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Australia Queensland PL Logan Lightning vs Redlands Over 2.5 @1.42
5-1 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • World Cup 2026 France vs Sweden Over 2.5 @1.46
3-0 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Latvia Virsliga FK Liepaja vs Ogre United 1 @1.28
4-0 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Latvia Virsliga RFS vs BFC Daugavpils 1 @1.13
3-1 ✔
29 Jun 2026 • Club Friendly Odense vs Kolding Over 2.5 @1.42
2-1 ✔
29 Jun 2026 • World Cup 2026 Brazil vs Japan Over 1.5 @1.34
2-1 ✔
29 Jun 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Huracan W vs San Lorenzo W 2 @1.40
0-1 ✔
29 Jun 2026 • Kuwait Premier League Al Arabi vs Al Fahaleel 1 @1.19
3-0 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 173 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
77.5%
Excellent
Won (134) 77.5%
Lost (39) 22.5%
134W
39L
134
Won
39
Lost
173
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
1X Top market
11W / 2L • 13 tips
84.6%
Over 1.5 Top market
12W / 3L • 15 tips
80%
1 Top market
74W / 20L • 94 tips
78.7%
2 Top market
20W / 6L • 26 tips
76.9%
Over 2.5 Solid
15W / 7L • 22 tips
68.2%
X2 Solid
2W / 1L • 3 tips
66.7%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 83% 85% 74% 72% 75% 74% 76%
1X 73% 100% 90% 88% 80% 100% — 88%
2 92% 75% 70% 64% 56% 70% 80% 72%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 100% 50% 75% 93% 67% — — 82%
Over 2.5 73% 65% 67% 63% 75% 75% 75% 68%
X2 — — — — — — — 33%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 77.8%100%
85.7%
recent
⬆
+7.9pp
Argentina Reserve League
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Euro WCQ Women
0%baseline 85.7%100%
85.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
International Friendly
0%baseline 87.5%100%
87.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Morocco Botola Pro
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 265 tips
Accuracy 77.7%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 206W / 59L
2
2
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 44W / 12L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 55 tips
Accuracy 65.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 36W / 19L
4
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 86.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 5L
5
Over 1.5
Volume 30 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 25W / 5L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 33.3%
Below average returns. Published selectively as a result.
WATCH 2W / 4L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
80%
Accuracy
24
Won
6
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
2 Jul 2026Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
Morocco Botola Pro		1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026PPJ vs Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen A		Over 2.5✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
Iceland Besta deild karla		1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Tartu Welco vs Viimsi
Estonia Esiliiga		Over 2.5✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
Iceland Besta deild karla		2✗ Lost
2 Jul 2026Spain vs Austria
World Cup 2026		1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026EBK vs Abo
Finland Kakkonen B		X2✓ Won
1 Jul 2026Winterthur vs St Gallen
Club Friendly		Over 2.5✗ Lost
1 Jul 2026Khimik vs Ural 2
Russia FNL 2 - Div B		1✓ Won
1 Jul 2026Forge vs Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League		1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78% • range ±2.4%
Steady
78.7%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
75.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 64.6% • range ±2.9%
Steady
68.2%
0-30d
62.5%
30-60d
63.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 78.7% • range ±4.6%
Steady
76.9%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
84.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 86.5% • range ±12.5%
Variable
84.6%
0-30d
100%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 83.8% • range ±14.3%
Volatile
80%
0-30d
100%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


77.5%
30-day win rate
173 verified tips
78.6%
7-Day Rate
134
Tips Won
39
Tips Lost
173
Settled
Full Results →

MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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