Quality Football Prediction

Quality Football Prediction


6th Jul 2026

10:30 am Ecuador Liga Pro
U Catolica vs Mushuc Runa
2-3
1X 1.14 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Argentina Primera C
CSR Espanol vs Mercedes
0-3
1X 1.11 Stats Analysis
4:45 pm Lithuania TopLyga
Suduva vs Transinvest
0-0
Over 1.5 1.27 Stats Analysis
8:15 am Iceland Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
1-1
Over 2.5 1.40 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm World Cup 2026
Portugal vs Spain
0-1
Over 1.5 1.24 Stats Analysis
7:30 pm Club Friendly
Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl
3-2
Over 2.5 1.52 Stats Analysis
5:00 pm Latvia Virsliga
Super Nova vs Ogre United
1-2
Over 1.5 1.19 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 22 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Lillestrom vs Viking
Over 1.5 Norway Eliteserien 6:00 pm
90%
prob
Solid Pick
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
1 Ecuador Liga Pro 10:30 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
1 Argentina Reserve League 11:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles
1 Australia NPL ACT 10:30 am
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Basaksehir vs Inter Turku
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:45 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
2 Copa Do Brasil Women 11:00 pm
20%
prob
Speculative
Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
2 Argentina Primera Women 7:00 pm
20%
prob
Speculative
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
2 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 74.8% • evidence-based
Lillestrom vs Viking
Over 1.5 Norway Eliteserien 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
1 Ecuador Liga Pro 10:30 pm
Supported
Score: 72/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
1 Argentina Reserve League 11:00 pm
Supported
Score: 65/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Argentina Reserve League has been a difficult competition in the historical record (60%). Factor this into your assessment. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles
1 Australia NPL ACT 10:30 am
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Basaksehir vs Inter Turku
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:45 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
2 Copa Do Brasil Women 11:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
2 Argentina Primera Women 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 62/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way. Argentina Primera Women is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
2 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 59/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Lillestrom vs Viking Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 29 wins from 37 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (229 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 180 wins from 229 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (229 tips graded). In Argentina Reserve League, our record stands at 60% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability 60% in Argentina Reserve League
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 180 wins from 229 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (229 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 180 wins from 229 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Basaksehir vs Inter Turku 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (229 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability 83.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 180 wins from 229 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Botafogo W vs Bragantino W 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (50 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 50 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (50 tips graded). In Argentina Primera Women, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 2 20% probability 100% in Argentina Primera Women
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 50 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (50 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 2 20% probability 83.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 50 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta 2 @1.23
0-4
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch 2 @1.17
0-1
18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord 1 @1.28
2-1
18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor 1 @1.20
1-0
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup Uni X Labs vs Baranovici 2 @1.33
1-4
17 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse 1 @1.19
2-1
17 Jul 2026 • China Super League Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port Over 2.5 @1.35
2-2
17 Jul 2026 • Ireland FA Cup Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City 1X @1.10
4-1
17 Jul 2026 • Slovenia PRVA Liga Celje vs Mura Over 2.5 @1.46
2-2
17 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City 1 @1.39
2-0
17 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Throttur Vogar 1 @1.30
2-1
16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vestri vs Qarabag Over 2.5 @1.41
0-3
16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Over 1.5 @1.20
1-2
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier RFS vs Glentoran 1 @1.42
2-0
16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina 1 @1.45
3-0
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Levadia vs Caernarfon 1 @1.20
5-0
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk 1 @1.25
1-0
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Zalgiris vs Petrovac 1 @1.37
2-1
16 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Afturelding vs Leiknir 1 @1.37
3-2
15 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Patro Eisden vs St Truiden Over 2.5 @1.33
0-4

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 159 settled tips
74.8%
Excellent
Won (119) 74.8%
Lost (40) 25.2%
119W
40L
119
Won
40
Lost
159
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
1X Top market
11W / 3L • 14 tips
78.6%
Over 2.5 Top market
20W / 6L • 26 tips
76.9%
1 Top market
58W / 19L • 77 tips
75.3%
2 Top market
14W / 5L • 19 tips
73.7%
Over 1.5 Top market
14W / 6L • 20 tips
70%
X2 Solid
2W / 1L • 3 tips
66.7%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 84% 87% 75% 70% 74% 74% 76%
1X 69% 100% 82% 88% 86% 100% 84%
2 92% 75% 75% 64% 60% 71% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 78% 63% 67% 88% 67% 100% 78%
Over 2.5 69% 68% 72% 68% 67% 75% 75% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
+33.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 83.3%100%
100%
recent
+16.7pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 82.4%100%
82.4%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 229 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 180W / 49L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 67.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 39W / 19L
3
2
Volume 50 tips
Accuracy 78%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 39W / 11L
4
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 83.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 6L
5
Over 1.5
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
86.2%
Accuracy
25
Won
4
Lost
1
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
18 Jul 2026Marupe vs Metta
Latvia Nakotnes liga
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
1✗ Lost
18 Jul 2026FC Slonim vs Isloch
Belarusian Cup
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Viking vs Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Throttur vs Volsungor
Iceland Division 1
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Uni X Labs vs Baranovici
Belarusian Cup
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Shelbourne W vs Cork City W
Ireland National League Women
1− Void
17 Jul 2026Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria EFBET League
1✓ Won
17 Jul 2026Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
China Super League
Over 2.5✓ Won
17 Jul 2026Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
Ireland FA Cup
1X✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78.6% • range ±2.5%
Steady
75.3%
0-30d
80.2%
30-60d
80.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 78.8% • range ±4%
Steady
73.7%
0-30d
81%
30-60d
81.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 84.7% • range ±5.2%
Steady
78.6%
0-30d
86.7%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 66.8% • range ±7.9%
Variable
76.9%
0-30d
61.1%
30-60d
62.5%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.7% • range ±10.9%
Variable
70%
0-30d
91.7%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
66.7%
0-30d
33.3%
30-60d
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


74.8%
30-day win rate
159 verified tips
86.2%
7-Day Rate
119
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
159
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.