Successful Soccer Predictions
Successful Soccer Predictions
12th Aug 2023
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 8 Jul 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 76.7% • evidence-based
Jaro 2 vs SJK Akatemia 2
1X
Finland Kakkonen C
4:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (81.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
1
Euro U19
4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 72/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1
Morocco Coupe Du Trone
8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 72/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
1
UCL Qualifiers
4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Delaware vs Eagle FC
1
USA USL League Two
10:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2
USA USL League Two
11:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
2
Argentina Primera Women
7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Jaro 2 vs SJK Akatemia 2
1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 81.1% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
81.1% on 1X
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 37 settled tips (81.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (247 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 247 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (247 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 247 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (247 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 247 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Delaware vs Eagle FC
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (247 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 247 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.8% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.8% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 43 wins from 56 settled tips (76.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.8% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.8% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 43 wins from 56 settled tips (76.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 07 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Argentina vs Egypt | 1 @1.37 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 07 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Legia vs Beer Sheva | Over 2.5 @1.46 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 07 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier UNA Strassen vs La Florita | 1 @1.29 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 07 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Hvidovre vs F Amager | Over 2.5 @1.40 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 07 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly PAOK vs AEK Larnaca | Over 1.5 @1.16 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 07 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Women Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W | 1 @1.13 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 07 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen | Over 1.5 @1.13 |
1-1 ✔
|
| 06 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl | Over 2.5 @1.52 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 06 Jul 2026 • Latvia Virsliga Super Nova vs Ogre United | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Racing Club W vs Huracan W | 1 @1.13 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • China Super League Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • Finland Veikkausliiga VPS vs Mariehamn | 1 @1.28 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Spain U19 vs Germany U19 | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W | 1 @1.21 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Morocco Botola Pro Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir | 1 @1.48 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen A PPJ vs Kiffen | Over 2.5 @1.41 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri | 1 @1.14 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Estonia Esiliiga Tartu Welco vs Viimsi | Over 2.5 @1.43 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Spain vs Austria | 1 @1.36 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen B EBK vs Abo | X2 @1.10 |
1-6 ✔
|
76.7%
Excellent
Won (132)
76.7%
Lost (40)
23.3%
132W
40L
132
Won
40
Lost
172
Settled
1
Top market
74W
/
18L
• 92 tips
80.4%
Over 1.5
Top market
13W
/
4L
• 17 tips
76.5%
1X
Top market
11W
/
4L
• 15 tips
73.3%
Over 2.5
Top market
16W
/
6L
• 22 tips
72.7%
2
Top market
17W
/
7L
• 24 tips
70.8%
X2
Average
1W
/
1L
• 2 tips
50%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 84% | 85% | 74% | 72% | 75% | 74% | 77% |
| 1X | 62% | 100% | 90% | 88% | 80% | 100% | — | 85% |
| 2 | 92% | 75% | 70% | 64% | 56% | 67% | 80% | 71% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 63% | 75% | 93% | 67% | 100% | — | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 68% | 67% | 63% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 69% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 75%100%
80%
recent
⬆
+5pp
Argentina Reserve League
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Euro WCQ Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 85.7%100%
83.3%
recent
➡
-2.4pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
33.3%
recent
⬇
-26.7pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
247 tips
Accuracy
78.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
194W / 53L
2
2
Volume
56 tips
Accuracy
76.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
43W / 13L
3
Over 2.5
Volume
56 tips
Accuracy
64.3%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
36W / 20L
4
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
81.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
30W / 7L
5
Over 1.5
Volume
35 tips
Accuracy
82.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
29W / 6L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
33.3%
Below average returns. Published selectively as a result.
WATCH
2W / 4L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
70%
Accuracy
21
Won
9
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | Argentina vs Egypt World Cup 2026 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Legia vs Beer Sheva Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 7 Jul 2026 | UNA Strassen vs La Florita Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Hvidovre vs F Amager Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 7 Jul 2026 | PAOK vs AEK Larnaca Club Friendly | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W Euro U19 Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen Club Friendly | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 6 Jul 2026 | U Catolica vs Mushuc Runa Ecuador Liga Pro | 1X | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | CSR Espanol vs Mercedes Argentina Primera C | 1X | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Suduva vs Transinvest Lithuania TopLyga | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Keflavik vs Fram Iceland Besta deild karla | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Portugal vs Spain World Cup 2026 | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Super Nova vs Ogre United Latvia Virsliga | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Racing Club W vs Huracan W Argentina Primera Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port China Super League | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power China League One | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 4 Jul 2026 | VPS vs Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | RFS vs Auda Latvia Virsliga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Spain U19 vs Germany U19 Euro U19 | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W Argentina Primera Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Morocco Botola Pro | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | PPJ vs Kiffen Finland Kakkonen A | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri Iceland Besta deild karla | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Tartu Welco vs Viimsi Estonia Esiliiga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik Iceland Besta deild karla | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Spain vs Austria World Cup 2026 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | EBK vs Abo Finland Kakkonen B | X2 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Winterthur vs St Gallen Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Khimik vs Ural 2 Russia FNL 2 - Div B | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 78.7% • range ±2.2%
Steady
80.4%
0-30d
79.7%
30-60d
76.1%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1X
avg 76.9% • range ±5.9%
Steady
73.3%
0-30d
84.6%
30-60d
72.7%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 78% • range ±6.3%
Variable
70.8%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 82.9% • range ±7.9%
Variable
76.5%
0-30d
92.3%
30-60d
80%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 2.5
avg 65.2% • range ±8.2%
Variable
72.7%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
56.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
76.7%
30-day win rate
172 verified tips
71.4%
7-Day Rate
132
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
172
Settled
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- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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