SureWinsForToday

Direct Win Predictions

Direct Win Predictions For Today

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16th Jul 2023

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No tips available for this date


Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 11 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Norway vs England
Over 1.5 2026 World Cup 10:00 pm
90%
prob
Solid Pick
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1 Lithuania Toplyga 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
50%
prob
Solid Pick
U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W
1 Chile Primera Division Women 8:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
1 Finland Veikkausliiga 3:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W
1 Chile Primera Division Women 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 73.8% • evidence-based
Norway vs England
Over 1.5 2026 World Cup 10:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (79.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1 Lithuania Toplyga 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W
1 Chile Primera Division Women 8:30 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
1 Finland Veikkausliiga 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W
1 Chile Primera Division Women 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Norway vs England Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 79.4% over the last 90 days (34 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 27 wins from 34 settled tips (79.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 248 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 248 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 248 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Gnistan vs Mariehamn 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 248 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 248 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 248 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

10 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera B Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos 1 @1.44
3-1 ✔
10 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Spain vs Belgium 1X @1.17
2-1 ✔
10 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Women Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W 2 @1.35
0-1 ✔
09 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier CSKA Sofia vs Derry City 1 @1.22
3-2 ✔
09 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Unterhaching vs Regensburg Over 2.5 @1.41
2-0 ✔
09 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen C Musa vs Grlfk Over 2.5 @1.36
3-1 ✔
09 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W 1 @1.30
7-3 ✔
08 Jul 2026 • USA USL League Two Delaware vs Eagle FC 1 @1.16
4-1 ✔
08 Jul 2026 • Morocco Coupe Du Trone FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain 1 @1.19
2-1 ✔
08 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W 2 @1.18
1-2 ✔
08 Jul 2026 • USA USL League Two Cleveland Force vs Steel City 2 @1.25
0-1 ✔
08 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Spain U19 vs Croatia U19 1 @1.21
3-0 ✔
08 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska 1 @1.25
2-1 ✔
07 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Argentina vs Egypt 1 @1.37
3-2 ✔
07 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Legia vs Beer Sheva Over 2.5 @1.46
3-1 ✔
07 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier UNA Strassen vs La Florita 1 @1.29
1-0 ✔
07 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Hvidovre vs F Amager Over 2.5 @1.40
3-2 ✔
07 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly PAOK vs AEK Larnaca Over 1.5 @1.16
3-2 ✔
07 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Women Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W 1 @1.13
3-0 ✔
07 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen Over 1.5 @1.13
1-1 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 168 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
73.8%
Excellent
Won (124) 73.8%
Lost (44) 26.2%
124W
44L
124
Won
44
Lost
168
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
1 Top market
68W / 20L • 88 tips
77.3%
1X Top market
9W / 3L • 12 tips
75%
Over 1.5 Top market
13W / 5L • 18 tips
72.2%
2 Top market
18W / 7L • 25 tips
72%
Over 2.5 Solid
15W / 8L • 23 tips
65.2%
X2 Average
1W / 1L • 2 tips
50%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 84% 86% 72% 71% 75% 74% 76%
1X 62% 100% 82% 88% 83% 100% — 83%
2 92% 75% 75% 64% 60% 67% 80% 72%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 75% 63% 75% 88% 67% 100% — 78%
Over 2.5 69% 68% 67% 67% 60% 75% 75% 68%
X2 — — — — — — — 33%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Club Friendly
0%baseline 87.5%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+12.5pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 76.2%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-9.5pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 248 tips
Accuracy 78.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 194W / 54L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 65.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 38W / 20L
3
2
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 12L
4
1X
Volume 39 tips
Accuracy 79.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 8L
5
Over 1.5
Volume 34 tips
Accuracy 79.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 27W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 33.3%
Below average returns. Published selectively as a result.
WATCH 2W / 4L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
66.7%
Accuracy
20
Won
10
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
10 Jul 2026Leiknir vs Grotta
Iceland Division 1		Over 2.5✗ Lost
10 Jul 2026Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos
Argentina Primera B		1✓ Won
10 Jul 2026Spain vs Belgium
World Cup 2026		1X✓ Won
10 Jul 2026Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Konoplev Academy U19
Russia Youth League		1✗ Lost
10 Jul 2026Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W
Euro U19 Women		2✓ Won
10 Jul 2026Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale
Australia NPL Victoria		Over 2.5✗ Lost
9 Jul 2026CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
Europa League Qualifier		1✓ Won
9 Jul 2026Unterhaching vs Regensburg
Club Friendly		Over 2.5✓ Won
9 Jul 2026Kalju vs Linfield
Conference League Qualifier		Over 1.5✗ Lost
9 Jul 2026Dyn. Kyiv vs U. Cluj
Europa League Qualifier		1✗ Lost

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

Over 2.5 avg 64.9% • range ±0.5%
Steady
65.2%
0-30d
65.2%
30-60d
64.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 78.5% • range ±3.3%
Steady
77.3%
0-30d
82.4%
30-60d
75.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 80.3% • range ±7.8%
Variable
72%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 78.6% • range ±7.8%
Variable
75%
0-30d
88.2%
30-60d
72.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 77.3% • range ±13.1%
Volatile
72.2%
0-30d
92.9%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


73.8%
30-day win rate
168 verified tips
65.9%
7-Day Rate
124
Tips Won
44
Tips Lost
168
Settled
Full Results →

MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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