Successful Soccer Predictions
Successful Soccer Predictions
19th Aug 2023
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 7 Jul 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 75.8% • evidence-based
Hvidovre vs F Amager
Over 2.5
Club Friendly
11:00 am
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (63.6%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
Over 1.5
Club Friendly
5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (81.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
Over 1.5
Club Friendly
5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (81.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Over 2.5
Club Friendly
1:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 74/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (63.6%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1
Euro U19 Women
3:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Argentina vs Egypt
1
World Cup 2026
5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
UNA Strassen vs La Florita
1
Conference League Qualifier
6:15 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Hvidovre vs F Amager
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 63.6% over the last 90 days (55 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
63.6% on Over 2.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 35 wins from 55 settled tips (63.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.8%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 81.8% over the last 90 days (33 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
81.8% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 27 wins from 33 settled tips (81.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 81.8% over the last 90 days (33 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
81.8% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 27 wins from 33 settled tips (81.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 63.6% over the last 90 days (55 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
63.6% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 35 wins from 55 settled tips (63.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.8%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (251 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 251 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Argentina vs Egypt
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (251 tips graded). In World Cup 2026, our record stands at 73.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
60% probability
73.7% in World Cup 2026
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 251 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
UNA Strassen vs La Florita
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (251 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 251 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 06 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl | Over 2.5 @1.52 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 06 Jul 2026 • Latvia Virsliga Super Nova vs Ogre United | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Racing Club W vs Huracan W | 1 @1.13 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • China Super League Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • Finland Veikkausliiga VPS vs Mariehamn | 1 @1.28 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Spain U19 vs Germany U19 | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 04 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W | 1 @1.21 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Morocco Botola Pro Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir | 1 @1.48 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen A PPJ vs Kiffen | Over 2.5 @1.41 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri | 1 @1.14 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Estonia Esiliiga Tartu Welco vs Viimsi | Over 2.5 @1.43 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Spain vs Austria | 1 @1.36 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen B EBK vs Abo | X2 @1.10 |
1-6 ✔
|
| 01 Jul 2026 • Russia FNL 2 - Div B Khimik vs Ural 2 | 1 @1.31 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 01 Jul 2026 • Canadian Premier League Forge vs Vancouver FC | 1 @1.37 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 01 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Belgium vs Senegal | Over 1.5 @1.30 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 01 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 England vs DR Congo | Over 1.5 @1.32 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 01 Jul 2026 • USA USL League Two NEFC vs Vermont Green | Over 2.5 @1.47 |
0-4 ✔
|
| 30 Jun 2026 • Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Namungo vs Mbitwa Sugar | 1X @1.13 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 30 Jun 2026 • Australia Queensland PL Logan Lightning vs Redlands | Over 2.5 @1.42 |
5-1 ✔
|
75.8%
Excellent
Won (125)
75.8%
Lost (40)
24.2%
125W
40L
125
Won
40
Lost
165
Settled
1
Top market
71W
/
18L
• 89 tips
79.8%
1X
Top market
11W
/
4L
• 15 tips
73.3%
Over 1.5
Top market
11W
/
4L
• 15 tips
73.3%
2
Top market
17W
/
7L
• 24 tips
70.8%
Over 2.5
Top market
14W
/
6L
• 20 tips
70%
X2
Average
1W
/
1L
• 2 tips
50%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 83% | 85% | 74% | 72% | 75% | 74% | 76% |
| 1X | 62% | 100% | 90% | 88% | 80% | 100% | — | 85% |
| 2 | 92% | 75% | 70% | 64% | 56% | 67% | 80% | 71% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 93% | 67% | 100% | — | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 65% | 67% | 63% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 68% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
75%
recent
⬆
+15pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 73.7%100%
80%
recent
⬆
+6.3pp
Argentina Reserve League
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Euro WCQ Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
33.3%
recent
⬇
-26.7pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
251 tips
Accuracy
78.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
197W / 54L
2
2
Volume
56 tips
Accuracy
76.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
43W / 13L
3
Over 2.5
Volume
55 tips
Accuracy
63.6%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
35W / 20L
4
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
81.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
30W / 7L
5
Over 1.5
Volume
33 tips
Accuracy
81.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
27W / 6L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
33.3%
Below average returns. Published selectively as a result.
WATCH
2W / 4L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
66.7%
Accuracy
20
Won
10
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | U Catolica vs Mushuc Runa Ecuador Liga Pro | 1X | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | CSR Espanol vs Mercedes Argentina Primera C | 1X | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Suduva vs Transinvest Lithuania TopLyga | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Keflavik vs Fram Iceland Besta deild karla | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Portugal vs Spain World Cup 2026 | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Super Nova vs Ogre United Latvia Virsliga | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Racing Club W vs Huracan W Argentina Primera Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port China Super League | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power China League One | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 4 Jul 2026 | VPS vs Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | RFS vs Auda Latvia Virsliga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Spain U19 vs Germany U19 Euro U19 | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Jul 2026 | San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W Argentina Primera Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir Morocco Botola Pro | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | PPJ vs Kiffen Finland Kakkonen A | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri Iceland Besta deild karla | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Tartu Welco vs Viimsi Estonia Esiliiga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik Iceland Besta deild karla | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Spain vs Austria World Cup 2026 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 2 Jul 2026 | EBK vs Abo Finland Kakkonen B | X2 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Winterthur vs St Gallen Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Khimik vs Ural 2 Russia FNL 2 - Div B | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Forge vs Vancouver FC Canadian Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Belgium vs Senegal World Cup 2026 | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Jul 2026 | England vs DR Congo World Cup 2026 | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Jul 2026 | NEFC vs Vermont Green USA USL League Two | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Husqvarna vs Lidkoping Sweden D2 Norra Gotaland | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Namungo vs Mbitwa Sugar Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Logan Lightning vs Redlands Australia Queensland PL | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 78.6% • range ±1.5%
Steady
79.8%
0-30d
79.1%
30-60d
76.8%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 63.3% • range ±5.6%
Steady
70%
0-30d
61.1%
30-60d
58.8%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 77.6% • range ±6.3%
Variable
70.8%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 81.9% • range ±9.5%
Variable
73.3%
0-30d
92.3%
30-60d
80%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 82% • range ±13.6%
Volatile
73.3%
0-30d
100%
30-60d
72.7%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
75.8%
30-day win rate
165 verified tips
65.7%
7-Day Rate
125
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
165
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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