SureWinsForToday

Direct Win Predictions

Direct Win Predictions For Today

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23rd Aug 2023

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No tips available for this date


Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 7 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Hvidovre vs F Amager
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 11:00 am
90%
prob
High Conf.
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
Over 1.5 Club Friendly 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
Over 1.5 Club Friendly 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 1:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1 Euro U19 Women 3:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Argentina vs Egypt
1 World Cup 2026 5:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
UNA Strassen vs La Florita
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:15 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 75.8% • evidence-based
Hvidovre vs F Amager
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 11:00 am
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (63.6%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
Over 1.5 Club Friendly 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (81.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
Over 1.5 Club Friendly 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (81.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 1:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 74/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (63.6%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1 Euro U19 Women 3:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Argentina vs Egypt
1 World Cup 2026 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
UNA Strassen vs La Florita
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:15 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Hvidovre vs F Amager Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 63.6% over the last 90 days (55 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
63.6% on Over 2.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 35 wins from 55 settled tips (63.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.8%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 81.8% over the last 90 days (33 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
81.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 27 wins from 33 settled tips (81.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 81.8% over the last 90 days (33 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
81.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 27 wins from 33 settled tips (81.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Legia vs Beer Sheva Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 63.6% over the last 90 days (55 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
63.6% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 35 wins from 55 settled tips (63.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.8%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (251 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 251 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Argentina vs Egypt 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (251 tips graded). In World Cup 2026, our record stands at 73.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 60% probability 73.7% in World Cup 2026
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 251 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
UNA Strassen vs La Florita 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (251 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 251 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

06 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl Over 2.5 @1.52
3-2 ✔
06 Jul 2026 • Latvia Virsliga Super Nova vs Ogre United Over 1.5 @1.19
1-2 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Racing Club W vs Huracan W 1 @1.13
2-0 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • China Super League Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port Over 1.5 @1.19
2-1 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • Finland Veikkausliiga VPS vs Mariehamn 1 @1.28
4-0 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Spain U19 vs Germany U19 Over 1.5 @1.20
4-0 ✔
04 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W 1 @1.21
2-0 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Morocco Botola Pro Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir 1 @1.48
2-0 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen A PPJ vs Kiffen Over 2.5 @1.41
1-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 1 @1.14
3-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Estonia Esiliiga Tartu Welco vs Viimsi Over 2.5 @1.43
2-2 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Spain vs Austria 1 @1.36
3-0 ✔
02 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen B EBK vs Abo X2 @1.10
1-6 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • Russia FNL 2 - Div B Khimik vs Ural 2 1 @1.31
4-1 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • Canadian Premier League Forge vs Vancouver FC 1 @1.37
3-2 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Belgium vs Senegal Over 1.5 @1.30
2-2 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 England vs DR Congo Over 1.5 @1.32
2-1 ✔
01 Jul 2026 • USA USL League Two NEFC vs Vermont Green Over 2.5 @1.47
0-4 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Namungo vs Mbitwa Sugar 1X @1.13
2-1 ✔
30 Jun 2026 • Australia Queensland PL Logan Lightning vs Redlands Over 2.5 @1.42
5-1 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 165 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
75.8%
Excellent
Won (125) 75.8%
Lost (40) 24.2%
125W
40L
125
Won
40
Lost
165
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
1 Top market
71W / 18L • 89 tips
79.8%
1X Top market
11W / 4L • 15 tips
73.3%
Over 1.5 Top market
11W / 4L • 15 tips
73.3%
2 Top market
17W / 7L • 24 tips
70.8%
Over 2.5 Top market
14W / 6L • 20 tips
70%
X2 Average
1W / 1L • 2 tips
50%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 83% 85% 74% 72% 75% 74% 76%
1X 62% 100% 90% 88% 80% 100% — 85%
2 92% 75% 70% 64% 56% 67% 80% 71%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 75% 50% 75% 93% 67% 100% — 79%
Over 2.5 69% 65% 67% 63% 75% 75% 75% 68%
X2 — — — — — — — 33%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
75%
recent
⬆
+15pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 73.7%100%
80%
recent
⬆
+6.3pp
Argentina Reserve League
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Euro WCQ Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
33.3%
recent
⬇
-26.7pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 251 tips
Accuracy 78.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 197W / 54L
2
2
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 76.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 13L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 55 tips
Accuracy 63.6%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 35W / 20L
4
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 81.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 7L
5
Over 1.5
Volume 33 tips
Accuracy 81.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 27W / 6L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 33.3%
Below average returns. Published selectively as a result.
WATCH 2W / 4L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
66.7%
Accuracy
20
Won
10
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
6 Jul 2026U Catolica vs Mushuc Runa
Ecuador Liga Pro		1X✗ Lost
6 Jul 2026CSR Espanol vs Mercedes
Argentina Primera C		1X✗ Lost
6 Jul 2026Suduva vs Transinvest
Lithuania TopLyga		Over 1.5✗ Lost
6 Jul 2026Keflavik vs Fram
Iceland Besta deild karla		Over 2.5✗ Lost
6 Jul 2026Portugal vs Spain
World Cup 2026		Over 1.5✗ Lost
6 Jul 2026Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl
Club Friendly		Over 2.5✓ Won
6 Jul 2026Super Nova vs Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga		Over 1.5✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Racing Club W vs Huracan W
Argentina Primera Women		1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
China Super League		Over 1.5✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangdong GZ-Power
China League One		2✗ Lost

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78.6% • range ±1.5%
Steady
79.8%
0-30d
79.1%
30-60d
76.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 63.3% • range ±5.6%
Steady
70%
0-30d
61.1%
30-60d
58.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 77.6% • range ±6.3%
Variable
70.8%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.9% • range ±9.5%
Variable
73.3%
0-30d
92.3%
30-60d
80%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 82% • range ±13.6%
Volatile
73.3%
0-30d
100%
30-60d
72.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75.8%
30-day win rate
165 verified tips
65.7%
7-Day Rate
125
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
165
Settled
Full Results →

MORE TIPS FOR TODAY

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